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Nigeria Stock Market Record N36 Trillion Gain in 2025 amid devaluation, Inflation

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Nigeria’s stock market achieved historic growth in 2025, with equities surging 51.19 per cent, despite challenges from Naira devaluation, rising inflation, and global economic pressures surpassing the previous year’s 37.65 per cent gain.

Market capitalisation soared by a record N36.62 trillion, reaching N99.4 trillion, up from N62.76 trillion in 2024, marking the largest annual increase in history and consolidating the bullish momentum from 2024.

The year began slowly, but market activity picked up as investors responded to strong corporate earnings, dividend payouts, improved currency stability, and bargain hunting in fundamentally sound stocks. Initially, many investors had shifted to fixed-income securities, attracted by high yields amid tight monetary policy, but sentiment improved as the year progressed.

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) rose from 102,926.40 points on December 31, 2024, to 155,613.03 points on December 31, 2025. Local investors continued to dominate trading, accounting for 83.4 per cent of market activity.

Foreign participation improved modestly to 21.2 per cent, though still below long-term averages. Total foreign portfolio inflows rose 182 per cent to N1.1 trillion, while outflows increased 99.6 per cent to N909.6 billion, resulting in a net positive foreign balance of N208.2 billion—the first in three years—reflecting better foreign exchange liquidity, policy clarity, exchange rate stability, and renewed investor confidence.

Key corporate actions influencing market performance included: TotalEnergies’ sale of its 12.5 per cent stake in the Bonga oilfield to Shell for $510 million, UACN’s acquisition of CHI Limited to expand its FMCG portfolio, the listing of Legend Plc adding N11.3 billion to market capitalisation, and Tolaram Group’s N104 billion takeover of a 58 per cent stake in Guinness Nigeria. The delisting of MRS Oil, Union Homes Savings & Loans, Goldlink Insurance, and Aso Savings & Loans also shaped market dynamics.

Umaru Kwairanga, Chairman of NGX Group Plc, attributed the gains to market reforms, decisive corporate actions, and resilient investor participation. NGX Group CEO, Temi Popoola, added that “the Nigerian capital market in 2025 demonstrated resilience despite domestic and global headwinds, highlighting the importance of policy consistency, purposeful reforms, and strategic collaboration in fostering investor confidence and driving growth.”

Ambrose Omordion, COO of InvestData Consulting, noted that market momentum was supported by stability in the foreign exchange market and strong corporate filings. Afrinvest Limited highlighted that 2025 saw sustained bullish sentiment, periodic profit-taking, and heightened trading activity, driven by reforms, policy implementation, and growing market awareness.

Research firms reported that emerging and frontier markets delivered 27.7 per cent and 36.5 per cent returns, respectively, while African equities led global markets with 39.7 per cent returns, supported by stronger investor confidence and improved currency stability. The NGX-ASI extended its bullish trend, rising 45.2 per cent year-to-date as of mid-December 2025, with July and September recording peak activity due to strong earnings and increased interest in insurance stocks following the NIIRA Act.

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CBN Grants National Operating Licences to Opay, Moniepoint, Palmpay, Others

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The Central Bank of Nigeria has approved the upgrade of operating licences for several leading fintech firms and microfinance banks, including Opay and Moniepoint, elevating them to national status and authorising full-scale operations across the country.

The licence upgrade also covers other major players such as Kuda Bank, Palmpay and Paga, whose rapid expansion through digital platforms and extensive agent networks has effectively pushed them beyond the limits of their former regional licences.

Confirming the development in Lagos at the annual conference of the Committee of Heads of Banks’ Operations, the Director of the Other Financial Institutions Supervision Department, Yemi Solaja, said the affected institutions had met the regulatory conditions required for nationwide operations.

“In practice, institutions like Moniepoint MFB, Opay, Kuda Bank and others are already operating nationally. The upgrade simply aligns their licences with the reality of their operations,” Solaja said.

He stressed the need for stronger physical presence and customer support structures, noting that most users of fintech services operate within the informal sector and require accessible points of contact to resolve complaints and disputes.

With the new national licences, the fintech firms will now be subject to stricter regulatory obligations, including higher capital requirements—set at N5 billion for national microfinance banks—and the establishment of offices dedicated to customer engagement and dispute resolution, while sustaining their role in deepening financial inclusion.

The move follows earlier enforcement actions by the apex bank, including fines of N1 billion each imposed on Moniepoint and Opay in 2024 over lapses in Know-Your-Customer compliance, reflecting the CBN’s continued push to strengthen governance and standards in Nigeria’s digital finance ecosystem.

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Dangote Group, EIL Seal $350m Deal to Expand Lagos Refinery

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Dangote Group has sealed a $350 million partnership with Indian engineering firm, Engineers India Limited (EIL), to significantly expand its refinery and petrochemical operations in Lagos.

Under the agreement, the expansion project will raise the refinery’s processing capacity from 650,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day, positioning the facility as one of the largest single-site refinery complexes in the world.

The deal also covers major petrochemical upgrades, including a substantial increase in polypropylene production to about 2.4 million tonnes per annum, further strengthening the group’s downstream industrial footprint.

Located in the Lekki Free Zone, the Dangote Refinery represents a major turning point for Nigeria’s energy sector, marking a shift from heavy dependence on imported petroleum products towards domestic refining, self-sufficiency, and export of refined fuels and petrochemicals.

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Nigeria’s US Crude Oil Imports Surge to 42.13m Barrels in 10 Months

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Nigeria’s crude oil imports from the United States rose sharply to 42.13 million barrels within the first ten months of 2025, reflecting a significant shift in the country’s crude supply pattern and refinery feedstock strategy.

Data obtained from the United States Energy Information Administration show that between January and October 2025, Nigeria imported more than 42 million barrels of US crude, a steep increase from the 15.79 million barrels recorded over the same period in 2024. The development represents a year-on-year growth of about 167 per cent, largely driven by rising demand from domestic refineries, particularly the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

By contrast, Nigeria’s crude imports from the US in 2024 were unstable, failing to exceed four million barrels for much of the year and plunging to as low as 1.04 million barrels in June. The volatility highlighted supply and operational challenges during that period.

Although Nigeria recorded no US crude imports in January 2025, volumes picked up in February at 3.11 million barrels, slightly below the 3.61 million barrels imported in February 2024. Imports climbed further in March to 5.25 million barrels, compared with about 1.83 million barrels in the corresponding month of the previous year.

The EIA data showed continued momentum as Nigeria imported 3.79 million barrels in May 2025—an increase of 1.71 million barrels year-on-year—before surging to 9.16 million barrels in June. Imports eased slightly in July at 4.17 million barrels, marginally above July 2024 levels, followed by 6.24 million barrels in August. September and October both recorded steady inflows of 4.19 million barrels each.

Industry analysts, quoted by Petroleumprice.ng, attributed the rising import volumes to Nigeria’s growing requirement for crude oil feedstock as privately owned refineries scale up operations. They noted that with over 42 million barrels already imported within ten months, Nigeria’s intake of US crude has nearly tripled compared to the previous year, with the likelihood of further increases if the current trend continues.

The analysts also pointed to a gradual ramp-up in crude intake at the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, where US light sweet crude has become a preferred option due to its compatibility with complex refining processes.

Commenting on the trend, petroleum economist, Prof. Wumi Iledare, described the surge in imports as a structural shift with wide-ranging macroeconomic and sectoral implications. He said the ultimate impact on the Nigerian economy would depend on exchange rate dynamics, efficiency in domestic crude allocation, and the level of refinery utilisation.

According to him, crude oil imports could influence petroleum product prices and inflation primarily through the exchange rate channel. He noted that if macroeconomic stability is sustained and refineries operate at high utilisation levels, the development could support output growth, income generation, and employment. However, he cautioned that failure to address domestic crude pricing and allocation constraints could deepen Nigeria’s dependence on imported feedstock, undermining long-term energy security and industrial optimisation.

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